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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Isaiah Likely's 32.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 16.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Isaiah Likely's 77.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a noteable drop-off in his receiving prowess over last season's 82.1% rate.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.2%) versus tight ends this year (73.2%).

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

More Isaiah Likely Player Props

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