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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+126/-165).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the predictive model to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

Isaiah Likely's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 16.0.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

Isaiah Likely's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 82.1% to 73.2%.

This year, the formidable Cleveland Browns defense has yielded a measly 52.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the smallest rate in the league.

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