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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-199/+143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -199.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Isaiah Likely's 29.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 16.2.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.5 plays per game.
  • Isaiah Likely's 77.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a material diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 82.1% mark.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's group of LBs has been great this year, projecting as the 9th-best in the league.

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