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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

The predictive model expects Isaiah Likely to accumulate 4.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.

Isaiah Likely's 30.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 16.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Ravens being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.55 seconds per play based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Isaiah Likely's 75.9% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a remarkable regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 82.1% rate.

This year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has conceded a mere 64.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 2nd-smallest rate in the NFL.

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