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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Isaiah Likely's 14.3% Target Share this year reflects a significant gain in his passing offense utilization over last year's 8.1% mark.
  • This year, the poor New York Giants pass defense has been torched for a staggering 92.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the biggest rate in the league.
  • The Giants safeties profile as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 16.5-point advantage, the Ravens are heavily favored this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • Isaiah Likely's 74.5% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 82.1% mark.

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