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Isaiah Likely
NFL · Player Props
Isaiah Likely
TE · Baltimore Ravens
Receptions
Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:26 AM EST
NFL Props Isaiah Likely Receptions

Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -150.

Favors Over
  • The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the projection model to call 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Chargers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, Isaiah Likely is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.4 targets.
  • The model projects Isaiah Likely to be much more involved in his offense's passing game in this week's contest (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.8% in games he has played).
Favors Under
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 53.9% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Isaiah Likely's 1.3 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a substantial regression in his receiving talent over last season's 2.6 rate.
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