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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the predictive model to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

Isaiah Likely has accrued significantly more air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (14.0 per game).

Isaiah Likely's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 16.0.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.

With an excellent 6.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (82nd percentile) this year, Isaiah Likely has been among the top TE receiving threats in the league in space.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

Isaiah Likely's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 82.1% to 73.2%.

Isaiah Likely's pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, totaling a mere 8.24 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 11.27 figure last year.

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