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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Isaiah Likely has compiled many more air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (14.0 per game).
  • Isaiah Likely's 30.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 16.2.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Buffalo's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 49.1% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Isaiah Likely's 77.2% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a substantial decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 82.1% figure.
  • Isaiah Likely's pass-game efficiency has diminished this season, accumulating a mere 8.74 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 11.27 figure last season.
  • Isaiah Likely's 5.93 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a substantial decline in his efficiency in space over last year's 7.2% mark.
  • This year, the fierce Bills defense has conceded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a paltry 6.7 yards.

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