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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Isaiah Likely has posted far more air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (14.0 per game).
  • Isaiah Likely's 30.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 16.0.
  • Isaiah Likely has been one of the leading tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 6.54 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 96th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.52 seconds per play.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Isaiah Likely's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 82.1% to 75.9%.

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