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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 3.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projection model to run 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

The predictive model expects Isaiah Likely to total 4.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The model projects Isaiah Likely to be a more important option in his team's pass game this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.7% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points.

The projections expect the Ravens as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

After totaling 26.0 air yards per game last year, Isaiah Likely has produced significantly fewer this year, currently pacing 5.0 per game.

Isaiah Likely has accumulated quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (17.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).

More Isaiah Likely Player Props

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