Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

My Account Log Out

reorder

Isaiah Likely

NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Likely

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens have incorporated play action on 29.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-most in football), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 58.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
The New Orleans Saints defense has yielded the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 28.0) vs. TEs this year.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has conceded the lowest Completion% in football (57.2%) vs. tight ends this year (57.2%).

More Isaiah Likely Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow