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Isaiah Hodgins

Isaiah Hodgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Isaiah Hodgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup QB Tyrod Taylor.
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a a big -15.5-point underdog this week.
  • The Bills pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (73.9%) to WRs this year (73.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.6 per game) this year.
  • Isaiah Hodgins has been used less as a potential target this year (51.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (67.9%).
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in football this year.
  • Isaiah Hodgins's 2.0 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a a meaningful reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 3.7 mark.

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