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Isaiah Hodgins

Isaiah Hodgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Isaiah Hodgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-245/+185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by our trusted projection set to call 67.7 total plays in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 58.6% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in football has been the New York Giants.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Saints, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.
  • Isaiah Hodgins's 42.7% Route Participation Rate this year shows a remarkable drop-off in his pass game volume over last year's 67.9% mark.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in the league this year.
  • Isaiah Hodgins's 1.6 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a meaningful decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 3.7 rate.

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