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Isaiah Hodgins

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a massive 62.2 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Isaiah Hodgins's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, averaging 5.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 2.24 rate last year.

This year, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed a monstrous 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 4th-highest rate in the league.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.03 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Giants to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in football (just 34.4 per game) this year.

Isaiah Hodgins has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (42.0 per game).

With a RATE1-RATE2 point diminishment in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, Isaiah Hodgins has been utilized much less in his team's pass game.

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