Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Isaiah Hodgins

NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Hodgins

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Giants may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup QB Tyrod Taylor.
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a a big -15.5-point underdog this week.
Isaiah Hodgins's ability to generate extra yardage has improved this season, compiling 5.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 2.24 rate last season.
The Bills pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (73.9%) to WRs this year (73.9%).

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.
Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.6 per game) this year.
Isaiah Hodgins has been used less as a potential target this year (51.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (67.9%).
Isaiah Hodgins has posted quite a few less air yards this year (23.0 per game) than he did last year (42.0 per game).
As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in football this year.

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