Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Hodgins

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-100/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Isaiah Hodgins to accumulate 7.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 57.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Isaiah Hodgins has been among the worst wideouts in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 16th percentile.
The New York Giants O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.