Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Hodgins

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 9th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Isaiah Hodgins to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense this week (19.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.5% in games he has played).
Isaiah Hodgins has been among the most reliable receivers in football, completing an impressive 86.5% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among WRs.
Isaiah Hodgins has been among the most effective receivers in the NFL, averaging an impressive 9.92 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.97 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 138.0) versus wideouts this year.