Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Isaiah Hodgins

NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Hodgins

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+103/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Isaiah Hodgins to be a more important option in his offense's air attack this week (16.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (11.2% in games he has played).
Isaiah Hodgins has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL, completing a stellar 94.3% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 134.0) to wideouts this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in football (58.3%) versus wideouts this year (58.3%).

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