Isaiah Hodgins Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Hodgins

WR · New York Giants

Receiving TD

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+376/-768).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -633 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -768.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.50 seconds per play.
Isaiah Hodgins has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 17.4% this year, which ranks in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
Isaiah Hodgins has been among the best possession receivers in football, completing an impressive 87.6% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
Isaiah Hodgins grades out in the 81st percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.33 per game.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Washington Commanders safeties profile as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The New York Giants offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.