Isaiah Hodgins Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Isaiah Hodgins

NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Hodgins

WR · New York Giants

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+385/-798).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +403 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +385.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Isaiah Hodgins to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack near the end zone this week (16.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.1% in games he has played).
Isaiah Hodgins has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL, completing a stellar 94.3% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in football (58.3%) versus wideouts this year (58.3%).
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has surrendered the 9th-least passing TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.75 per game this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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