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Isaiah Hodgins

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+382/-787).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +384 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +382.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Isaiah Hodgins to be much more involved in his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (12.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.7% in games he has played).

The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the league.

The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Isaiah Hodgins ranks in the 1st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

The Washington Commanders safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

More Isaiah Hodgins Player Props

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