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Irv Smith

Irv Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Irv Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 68.6% of their plays: the highest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.

Irv Smith Jr.'s 15.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 25.8.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the daunting Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed a puny 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 6th-best rate in football.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in the league.

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