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Irv Smith

Irv Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Irv Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.5% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.62 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Irv Smith to earn 4.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among TEs.
  • Irv Smith has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 12.8% this year, which ranks him in the 83rd percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Irv Smith has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends, catching a mere 59.8% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile.
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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