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Irv Smith

Irv Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Irv Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.1% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

Irv Smith Jr.'s 68.4% Route Participation Rate this year indicates a noteworthy progression in his passing game utilization over last year's 55.6% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run just 60.1 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Irv Smith Jr.'s 55.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a noteable decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 73.2% rate.

Irv Smith Jr.'s receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, notching just 2.85 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 5.82 rate last season.

Irv Smith Jr. profiles as one of the worst tight ends in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.32 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 20th percentile.

The 49ers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.5%) versus TEs this year (62.5%).

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