Irv Smith Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Irv Smith

NFL · Player Props

Irv Smith

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Irv Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 68.6% of their plays: the highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.
Irv Smith Jr. has accrued far fewer air yards this season (14.0 per game) than he did last season (22.0 per game).
Irv Smith Jr.'s 15.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 25.8.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
Irv Smith Jr. has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).

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