My Account Log Out

reorder

Irv Smith

Irv Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Irv Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 68.6% of their plays: the highest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.

Irv Smith Jr. has accrued far fewer air yards this season (14.0 per game) than he did last season (22.0 per game).

Irv Smith Jr.'s 15.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 25.8.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.

Irv Smith Jr. has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).

More Irv Smith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™