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Irv Smith

Irv Smith Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings

Irv Smith Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+432/-977).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has conceded the 3rd-highest Completion% in football (78.4%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (78.4%).

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded the most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to tight ends: 0.78 per game since the start of last season.

The Philadelphia Eagles safeties profile as the 8th-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone up against a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 4th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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