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Ian Thomas

Ian Thomas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Ian Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers will be rolling out backup QB PJ Walker in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Panthers are a huge 13.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 5th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.3 plays per game.

Ian Thomas has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league among tight ends, completing a mere 63.0% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.38 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in football.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties grade out as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Carolina Panthers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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