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Ian Thomas

Ian Thomas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Ian Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-121).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Completion% in football (74.3%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (74.3%).
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has struggled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.17 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 10th-most in football.
  • The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Ian Thomas has been among the worst pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging a measly 13.0 yards per game while grading out in the 19th percentile among tight ends.
  • Ian Thomas has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends, completing a mere 64.8% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 21st percentile.
  • Ian Thomas has been among the least effective receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging a measly 6.52 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 21st percentile.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus TEs since the start of last season, giving up 6.88 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the league.

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