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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Hunter Renfrow Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-128).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 6th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 128.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
  • With an excellent 73.2% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Hunter Renfrow has been among the most reliable receivers in football among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a lowly 53.0 per game on average).
  • Hunter Renfrow's 5.7% Target Rate this season represents a a meaningful drop-off in his passing game utilization over last season's 15.6% figure.
  • Hunter Renfrow's 1.5 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a a significant reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 3.6 mark.

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