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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans

Hunter Renfrow Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-175).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Hunter Renfrow to earn 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.

Hunter Renfrow has been among the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.3 receptions per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per play.

Hunter Renfrow's 35.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 43.7.

Hunter Renfrow's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 83.3% to 71.0%.

The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (59.4%) to WRs this year (59.4%).

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