Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Hunter Renfrow

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Renfrow

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-115/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Hunter Renfrow to earn 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.
Hunter Renfrow has been among the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 55.0 yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Favors Under

The Raiders are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per play.
Hunter Renfrow's 35.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 43.7.
Hunter Renfrow's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 83.3% to 71.0%.
Hunter Renfrow's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, notching a measly 5.85 yards-per-target vs a 8.89 rate last season.

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