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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Las Vegas Raiders will be rolling with backup QB Jarrett Stidham this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Raiders are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Hunter Renfrow has been a less important option in his offense's pass game this year (15.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (21.3%).
  • Hunter Renfrow has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (35.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).
  • Hunter Renfrow has totaled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).

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