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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Hunter Renfrow Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+305/-547).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -462 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -547.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Hunter Renfrow to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the goal line this week (16.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.1% in games he has played).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has surrendered the 5th-most passing touchdowns in the league to WRs: 1.12 per game this year.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties grade out as the 10th-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.
  • Hunter Renfrow has compiled far fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (49.0 per game).
  • Hunter Renfrow's 29.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 43.7.
  • Hunter Renfrow's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 83.3% to 72.6%.
  • Hunter Renfrow ranks in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

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