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Hunter Renfrow
NFL · Player Props
Hunter Renfrow
WR · Las Vegas Raiders
Receiving TD
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 5, 2022 Updated Oct 11, 2022 12:10 AM UTC
NFL Props Hunter Renfrow Receiving TD

Hunter Renfrow Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+227/-354).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +262 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +227.

Favors Over
  • The Raiders are a massive 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 45.8 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in football.
  • Hunter Renfrow ranks in the 91st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 0.43 per game.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Hunter Renfrow to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing game near the end zone this week (21.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (27.0% in games he has played).
  • Hunter Renfrow's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 83.3% to 63.8%.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks project as the 9th-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.
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