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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals

Hunter Renfrow Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+185/-270).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +214 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Hunter Renfrow grades out in the 92nd percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 0.45 per game.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has surrendered the 5th-highest Completion% in football (68.4%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (68.4%).

The Arizona Cardinals defense has surrendered the most passing TDs in the league to wideouts: 1.56 per game since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Hunter Renfrow to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing attack near the goal line this week (20.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (26.9% in games he has played).

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals safeties project as the 9th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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