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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect Hunter Henry to accrue 5.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.

Hunter Henry's 45.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 33.2.

Hunter Henry is positioned as one of the top pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an excellent 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

Hunter Henry's 77.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a material boost in his receiving ability over last year's 68.4% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Patriots this year (only 56.2 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a measly 27.9 per game) this year.

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