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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -6-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their standard game plan.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Hunter Henry's 81.8% Route% this year represents a substantial progression in his passing game usage over last year's 71.6% rate.
  • The predictive model expects Hunter Henry to accumulate 7.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among TEs.
  • Hunter Henry's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this season, accumulating 4.5 adjusted catches vs a measly 3.3 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the worst in the league this year.

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