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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -164 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 59.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • Hunter Henry has run fewer routes this season (82.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (71.6%).
  • In this week's game, Hunter Henry is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.5 targets.
  • Hunter Henry's 4.3 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a significant progression in his receiving talent over last year's 3.3 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the worst in football this year.
  • This year, the daunting Dolphins defense has given up a feeble 70.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-smallest rate in the league.

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