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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.38 seconds per play.

In this contest, Hunter Henry is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.0 targets.

Hunter Henry's 45.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 33.2.

Hunter Henry's pass-catching performance improved this season, totaling 4.4 adjusted catches vs a measly 3.3 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Chicago's collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

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