Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-175).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Patriots have been the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Hunter Henry has run a route on 75.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 86th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to garner 5.1 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
Hunter Henry has been among the leading tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 2.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.
Favors Under
The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The New York Jets linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.