Hunter Henry Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 134.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.2 per game) this year.
The predictive model expects Hunter Henry to total 4.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.
Hunter Henry slots into the 81st percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 29.9 figure this year.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Hunter Henry's 66.0% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a meaningful decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 72.5% rate.

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