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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to total 4.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.

Hunter Henry's 34.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 88th percentile for tight ends.

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The New England Patriots have faced a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 60.3 plays per game.

The New England Patriots offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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