Hunter Henry Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -147 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to garner 4.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 84th percentile among TEs.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the highest Completion% in the NFL (84%) versus tight ends this year (84.0%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
Hunter Henry's 24.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 34.8.
Hunter Henry's receiving skills have declined this season, averaging just 2.1 yards per game compared to 3.1 last season.
The New England Patriots offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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