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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The projections expect Hunter Henry to total 5.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.

Hunter Henry has compiled a massive 46.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among TEs.

Hunter Henry's 43.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 33.2.

Hunter Henry's 46.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a meaningful gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 33.0 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.16 seconds per play, the projections expect the New England Patriots as the 4th-slowest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

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