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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per play.

Hunter Henry has run a route on 71.3% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs.

The projections expect Hunter Henry to accrue 4.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Patriots ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

Hunter Henry's 66.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a substantial drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 72.5% mark.

Hunter Henry's 7.0 adjusted yards per target this year shows a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 8.5 rate.

Hunter Henry's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this season, averaging just 3.30 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.85 mark last season.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Miami's collection of safeties has been very good this year, ranking as the best in football.

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