Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by our trusted projection set to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Patriots have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
With a high 78.1% Route Participation Rate (89th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry rates among the TEs with the most usage in football.
This week, Hunter Henry is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.3 targets.

Favors Under

With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in football has been the Patriots.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Raiders, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.8 per game) this year.
The New England O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Hunter Henry's 7.4 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a a substantial reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 8.5 figure.
Hunter Henry's ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this season, accumulating just 3.12 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.85 rate last season.

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