Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 134.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.2 per game) this year.
The predictive model expects Hunter Henry to total 4.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.
Hunter Henry has posted many more air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (28.0 per game).

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Hunter Henry's 66.0% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a meaningful decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 72.5% rate.
Hunter Henry's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 6.62 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.54 figure last season.
Hunter Henry's 2.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a remarkable diminishment in his effectiveness in space over last season's 4.9% mark.

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