Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Patriots rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 62.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Hunter Henry has run a route on 73.8% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to earn 4.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (67.9%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (67.9%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.65 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in the NFL.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season.

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