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Hunter Henry
NFL · Player Props
Hunter Henry
TE · New England Patriots
Receiving Yards
New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:26 PM UTC
NFL Props Hunter Henry Receiving Yards

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.53 seconds per snap.
  • Hunter Henry has been among the most effective receivers in football among TEs, averaging a terrific 8.51 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 78th percentile.
  • Hunter Henry's skills in picking up extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, notching 5.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 2.48 mark last year.
  • The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The New England Patriots have gone up against a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • Hunter Henry has put up quite a few less air yards this season (25.0 per game) than he did last season (46.0 per game).
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