Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:51 PM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Hunter Henry has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among TEs, averaging an impressive 7.89 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 75th percentile.
Hunter Henry's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, accumulating 5.64 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 2.48 figure last season.
The New York Jets linebackers project as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
Hunter Henry has notched quite a few less air yards this year (29.0 per game) than he did last year (46.0 per game).

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